Tuesday, 30 June 2009

Could someone please tell her to shut up?

I am attempting to watch the tennis this afternoon and Victoria Azarenka is playing.

She makes a vile screeching noise like an owl on steroids.


Please Wimbledon ... SHUT HER UP!

Last nights match

I wonder if in future years Wimbledon will schedule a match every evening to start at aroung 8pm and then to play it under the roof? It was patently obvious that the television people (one point not mentioned is that it would have gone out in early prime time on the east coast of the US ) and the crowds there absolutely adored the spectacle - although I gather that Murray found the humidity high.

The BBC basically dumped BBC1 for the evening - in the full knowledge that the match will be completed rather than being paused until the next day - and, given the fact it was Murray playing, I suspect that the audience was very high.

Methinks that the pressure upon Wimbledon to play a late evening match under the roof and lights as a regular fixture will become very high indeed.

Saturday, 27 June 2009

I am glad I haven't got Sky Sports

Imagine the family battle: my wife would want Wimbledon... I the Lions.

Probably guess who would win :-(


Tense though. 16:8 to the Lions as I write.

Friday, 26 June 2009

Michael Jackson

Amongst all of the vomit making praise people should remember that he had some very serious child abuse allegations made against him, one of which was settled out of court.

Thursday, 25 June 2009

The New Warfare

A couple of years ago I bought Rupert Smith's excellent "Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World" in which he argues - clearly in my view - that the structure of the armed forces at the moment is completely wrong for what he called fighting "asymmetric wars" where the enemy is of almost pre-industrial capability. Examples abound: the Iraq insurgency, present day Afghanistan, the Intefada in Palestine and so on where the enemy is not the forces of some nation state but rather they arise from within the populace.

The old heavy army (tanks, big guns etc) for example is not suitable for either the insurgency type of warfare nor for police actions (a mistake that the Israelis have made on more than one occasion) and so I was not surprised to see in today's Telegraph a long discussion about the forces that Britain actually needs.

The most interesting point is a diagram (not sadly on line although the article is here) which contrasts what we have with what is needed (at least according to the Telegraph) :

What we have:

  • 2,700 artillery pieces
  • 1,000 snatch Land Rovers
  • 575 Warrior APCs
  • 386 Challenger Tanks
  • 343 Combat Aircraft
  • 85 Warships
Now what the Telegraph reckons we need are:

  • 600 Armoured Diggers
  • 300 All-terrain protective vehicles
  • 60 Light reconnaisance aircraft
  • 40 Light helicopters
  • 36 Super Tucano light attack aircraft
  • 30 Hermes drones
  • 25 Herc "J"s
  • 20 extra Chinooks
  • PLUS another 4,000 troops
This would provide a much more balanced force for the sort of warfare we are fighting - but given the entrenched positions of all the services (and also within the services - do you think the Tankies will like losing their reason for existing?) it will have a cat in hells chance of succeeding.

One noteworthy thing: The Telegraph's restructured forces has a vastly diminished role for the RAF : all helicopter operations could as easily be performed by the army or navy where appropriate as indeed could heavy lift operations.

They are not going to like this (esp the ghost of my father - RAF Squadron Leader) but is it time to reconsider having the RAF as a separate service?

Brown's financial reputation is shot to pieces

A couple of weeks ago I was on one of these Radio 5 phone in where there pit two people of diametrically opposing views against each other. The talk was about the mess that Brown has got us into over the last 12 or so years when he was either Chancellor or PM. I mentioned a few - selling of gold, the raid upon the pensions funds and queried where all the money was going to come from in order to fund Labour's spending commitments. I got no satisfactory answer from the other person on the call.


Anyway I found this over at the Times's WebSite "Gordon Brown's 10 worst financial gaffes" which gives in far better detail the catastrophe that was "Prudence" Brown.

It is well worth a read:
___________________________________________________________________

In 2006, an eloquent Gordon Brown, then Chancellor of the Exchequer said that he was "ready to make the decisions for people and to work with other people to make this country the great country it is at all times." A year later he became Prime Minister, and the rest is history. Here is a list of Gordon's worst financial blunders, the screw-ups which have cost us all dearly and left economists, accountants and the rest of us scratching our heads in disbelief.

1. Taxing dividend payments

Before 1997, dividends issued by UK companies and paid to pension funds were tax-free - that is, the tax could be claimed back via a system of tax credits. Not any more, decided Brown. Tax relief was scrapped, reducing the amount collected by pension funds by around £5 billion a year. Pension funds holding the cash that you, me and almost everyone else in the country plan to use for our retirement have lost around £100 billion over the last 12 years. That's one hell of a stealth tax.

2. Selling our gold

In May 1999 Gordon Brown had a plan to sell some gold. There were two problems with this, which concerned his economic advisers deeply. The price of gold had slumped after a decade of stagnation, but was likely to increase in the proceeding years. Added to this, the announcement of a major sell-off would drive the price down further. Little of this worried Gordon. Experts believe that the poorly timed decision to flog our national treasure has cost us all around £3 billion. Granted, that doesn't seem much nowadays, but more of that later.

3. Tripartite financial regulation

The system of financial regulation dividing powers between the Treasury, the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority, established by Brown as Chancellor in 2000, missed what amounted to the biggest financial crisis of our lifetime. Whoops. This has led some glass-half-empty commentators to conclude that the system set up by Brown failed and should be replaced. The Commons Treasury Select Committee’s report on the collapse of Northern Rock said that the Financial Services Authority had “systematically failed in its duty” to oversee the troubled bank’s activities. Little did it realise at the time that Northern Rock was the over-leveraged tip of the securitised iceberg.

4. Tax credits

“Gordon Brown claims the tax credits system lifts children out of poverty,” says Simon Blackmore, 38, who was pursued for £6,057 in over-paid tax credits. “Maybe it does, but only to plunge them and their families into debt two years later.” Millions of low-income families have had to pay back the Treasury after receiving too much money in tax credits, putting them under huge financial and emotional strain. Meanwhile, 40 per cent of workers and families who deserved tax credits left billions of pounds unclaimed in the 2008-09 tax year for fear of being chased for the cash later on. Introduced in 1999, reformed in 2000, tax credits have been "a complete disaster zone", according to tax experts.

5. The £10,000 corporation tax threshold

In 2002, Gordon Brown introduced a new tax regime to help small businesses. He announced a new zero per cent rate of corporation tax on profits below £10,000. It was designed to boost the ability of small businesses to grow and prosper. It didn't quite work out this way. It became advantageous for sole traders such as taxi drivers or plumbers to turn themselves into limited companies to take advantage of the new rules. A Treasury Minister later commented that "the Government did not realise how many people would engage in abusive tax avoidance", despite the fact that it was "blindingly obvious" to tax experts "within 5 seconds" of the budget announcement that this would happen. Gordon scrapped the rules a few years later, raising the rate from 0 per cent to 19 per cent when he released how much money was being lost.

6. Abolition of the 10p tax rate

Mr Brown rarely apologises. In fact, he never apologises. But occasionally he acknowledges "mistakes", albeit begrudgingly. Over the abolition of the 10p tax rate in 2007, Mr Brown told Radio 4's Today programme that "we made two mistakes. We didn't cover as well as we should that group of low-paid workers who don't get the working tax credits and we weren't able to help the 60 to 64-year-olds who didn't get the pensioner's tax allowance." Experts use stronger language to describe the Budget of 2007, which was designed to produce positive headlines for the 2p cut in income tax. Accountants calculated that the scrapping of the 10 per cent tax rate, coupled with the increase in the proportion of tax credits withdrawn from higher earners, would leave 1.8 million workers earning between £6,500 and £15,000 paying an effective tax rate of up to 70 per cent.

7. Failing to spot the housing bubble

Gordon Brown said he ended boom and bust, and in those innocent days before the collapse of the global finance system we believed him. In 1997, he outlined his plans. "Stability is necessary for our future economic success", he wisely informed an audience at the CBI. "The British economy of the future must be built not on the shifting sands of boom and bust, but on the bedrock of prudent and wise economic management." The other components of that bedrock including a trillion-pound debt mountain and a decade of unchecked and unparalleled house price inflation presumably slipped his mind. In 2003 a mild-mannered Liberal Democrat MP by the name of Vince Cable dared to question the mantra of "the end of boom and bust". He asked Gordon Brown: "Is it not true that...the growth of the British economy is sustained by consumer spending pinned against record levels of personal debt, which is secured, if at all, against house prices that the Bank of England describes as well above equilibrium level?" Gordon replied: "The Honourable Gentleman has been writing articles in the newspapers, as reflected in his contribution, that spread alarm, without substance, about the state of the economy..." We all know what happened next.

8. 50 per cent tax rate

Robert Chote, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, has said the tax hike which heralded the end the new Labour may actually end up losing the Government money. "If you look at what happened when higher rates were last changed in the 1980s, that might lead you to suggest that such a move might actually lose you revenue, rather than gain it, as people actually declare less income for tax," he said.

9. Cutting VAT

"It would be funny if it wasn’t so serious," said a tax accountant when asked about the Brown-Darling brainwave to cut VAT by 2.5 percentage points. As a nation of shoppers, rather than shopkeepers, a chopped down sales tax sounds like a good idea, providing a vital boost to hard-pressed families at a time of financial hardship. There were two problems. It costs £12.5 billion a year and it has made little discernable difference to those hard-pressed families because it is shopkeepers, rather than shoppers, who have pocketed much of the benefit.

10. Public-sector borrowing

If Gordon had only saved a little more in the good times, we might have had a little more to fall back on in the bad, economists sigh. Last month saw public-sector net borrowing hit £19.9 billion, the highest on record, according to the Office for National Statistics. The chancellor of the exchequer, Alistair Darling, has forecast that Government borrowing will reach £175 billion this year. It is forecast that total government debt will double to 79 per cent of GDP by 2013, the highest level since World War 2. Mr Chote recently warned that "the scale of the underlying problem that the Treasury’s detailed forecasts identify will require two full parliaments of mounting austerity to repair.”

Even after he leaves office in 2010, as is almost certain, it seems that we will all be paying for Gordon's gaffes for many years to come.

Tuesday, 23 June 2009

Give Bercow a chance

Speaker Bercow needs a chance. I suspect that he will be better than Gorbal's Mick (not difficult). Comments that Nadine Dorries made this morning are unhelpful and if the Tories were to force him out after the next election it would set a dreadful precedent with Labour returning the honour at the first possible opportunity. Not a good idea